Leonard Fournette Fantasy Value & Stat Projections With Jaguars

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Leonard Fournette is officially a member of the Jacksonville Jaguars. It’s an important addition for Doug Marrone’s squad, but it’s also going to have major implications on the fantasy football world.

Let’s take a look at what the LSU product brings to the table, how he fits with his new team, and what kind of numbers he could put up for your fantasy squad in 2017:

Strengths

Well, being a freight train is a pretty big strength.

Fournette is 6-foot-0 and 240 pounds of chiseled muscle. He runs a 4.51 40-yard dash. He’s a violent north-south runner who likely isn’t going down unless there are multiple people tackling him. He bulldozes through defenders at the second level like they’re kindergartners.

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During a touchdown run against Ole Miss last year, Fournette–who, mind you, was battling an ankle injury at the time–clocked 22.9 miles per hour. For comparison, that would have been the second-fastest play in the NFL last year, bested only by a Tyreek Hill nullified kick return.

Fournette has drawn a lot of comparisons to Adrian Peterson. Those are unfair in the sense that Peterson is a future Hall of Famer, but they are understandable in the sense that Fournette enters the league with an unheard of blend of size and speed.

If he gets going downhill, he’s almost impossible to stop.

Weaknesses

From a fantasy perspective, there are two things here.

First, his ankle injury. Per a source cited by Will Carroll last year, it’s “a chronic problem, one that will need constant maintenance or perhaps surgery in the future.”

DLF.com’s Jeremy Funk added to that:

Second, he hasn’t shown much as a wide receiver. In three seasons at Baton Rouge, he caught just 41 balls for 526 yards and one touchdown, which comes out to an average of about 1.28 receptions and 16.44 yards per game. Not exactly what you want to see out of your RB1 or RB2, especially in PPR leagues.

Projection

It shouldn’t take long before Fournette leaps Chris Ivory and T.J. Yeldon on depth chart. He should ultimately dominate early-down touches, and though Yeldon will likely remain in the mix on third downs, the Jags didn’t use the No. 4 overall pick on a guy who will be a backup. As the Jags look to take some of the pressure off Blake Bortles, expect Fournette to shoulder a big load.

Say hello to your next big fantasy star.

2017 Stat Projections: 275 carries, 1,250 yards, 11 touchdowns

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Tim Keeney is a sports contributor for Heavy. He has previously worked for Rivals, StatSheet and Bleacher Report. You can follow him on Twitter @t_keen
April 27, 2017 8:45 pm