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swordpress.com.ng

59% of COVID Cases Stem from Asymptomatic Spread

Byadmin

January 15, 2021
20 min read 3,935 words 6 views
0
(0)

photo of virus 3d render skeleton

Jan. 11, 2021 — More than half of all COVID-19 cases
transmit from people who don’t have any symptoms, according to a
model developed by CDC researchers.

About 59% of transmission comes from people without symptoms,
according to a new study published Thursday
in JAMA Network Open. This includes 35% from people
who infect others before they show symptoms and 24% from people who
never develop any symptoms.

“The bottom line is controlling the COVID-19 pandemic really is
going to require controlling the silent pandemic of transmission
from persons without symptoms,” Jay Butler, one of the study
authors and the CDC deputy director for infectious
diseases, told The Washington Post.

Testing and isolating people with symptoms won’t control the
ongoing spread of the pandemic, the authors wrote, emphasizing the
importance of universal face masks, hand hygiene, social
distancing, and strategic testing of people who aren’t sick. With
new contagious variants circulating around the world and in several
states, that’s even more important, Butler added.


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“Those findings are now in bold, italics and underlined,” he
said. “We’ve gone from 11-point font to 16-point font.”

The research team created a mathematical model to analyze
different scenarios, such as shifting the peak time of
infectiousness. Consistently, the model predicted that asymptomatic
transmission accounted for at least half of COVID-19 cases.

Even still, the research team noted that COVID-19 transmission
is complex and could vary for numerous reasons. The environment,
for instance, could shift whether asymptomatic transmission is more
prevalent. People in long-term care facilities and congregate
settings may face a higher risk of contracting the virus or
transmitting it to others.

“In the absence of effective and widespread use of therapeutics
or vaccines that can shorten or eliminate infectivity, successful
control of SARS-CoV-2 cannot rely solely on identifying and
isolating symptomatic cases,” they wrote. “Even if implemented
effectively, this strategy would be insufficient.”

Read more https://swordpress.com.ng/2021/01/15/59-of-covid-cases-stem-from-asymptomatic-spread/

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