gloves (L) casts his vote at a polling station in downtown Rome on
September 20, 2020. – Italians head to the pools this weekend,
despite a coronavirus resurgence in Europe, for a referendum and
Tuscan-led regional elections which analysts say could change the
face of the far-right. (Photo by Vincenzo PINTO / AFP)
Italians head to the polls Sunday — to the alarm of
coronavirus experts — for a referendum and regional elections that
could weaken the government and radically reshape the political
landscape.
Just a week after a Herculean effort by schools to reopen in
line with last-minute Covid-19 rules, classrooms across the country
will be shut to pupils and transformed into ballot stations for the
two-day vote.
A triumph for the far-right in this fiercely fought campaign
would sound alarm bells in Brussels.
It will be the first test for Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte’s
centre-left coalition government since it imposed an economically
crippling nationwide lockdown to fight the virus, which has killed
almost 36,000 people.
The referendum, on slashing the number of members of parliament
— from 630 to 400 in the lower house, and 315 to 200 in the upper
house — is expected to pass, though there has been a late uptick in
the number of prominent ‘no’ declarations.
The cost-cutting reform is the brainchild of the co-governing
Five Star Movement (M5S), but while its centre-left coalition
Democratic Party (PD) partner and parties on the right are
theoretically in favour, their support has been lacklustre at
best.
– Uncertain future –
The regional battle is for governance of Campania, Liguria,
Marche, Puglia, Tuscany, Valle d’Aosta and Veneto.
The right-wing coalition is set to easily retake Veneto and
Liguria, and it could also snatch Marche and Puglia from the
left.
But all eyes will be on Tuscany, a historic left-wing stronghold
that might fall to Matteo Salvini’s far-right League.
“If the left performs particularly poorly… Brussels will grow
concerned,” Berenberg economist Florian Hense told AFP.
It will worry whether the national recovery plan Italy has to
present to obtain grants or loans to aid its ailing economy after
the coronavirus lockdown “will be ambitious enough, given the
limited political capital of the coalition in Rome,” he said.
(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});
“And whether, whatever plan Italy comes up with, it will
actually implement it given the uncertain future of the current
coalition”.
– Concern over virus –
The poll is going ahead despite warnings against opening polling
stations while Covid-19 case numbers are on the rise.
While Italy currently has fewer new cases than Britain, France
or Spain, it is still recording more than 1,500 daily.
“The country is in a state of emergency; it is utterly
contradictory to be massing people together at polling stations,
particularly in light of the trend in Europe,” Professor Massimo
Galli, infectious diseases chief at Milan’s Sacco hospital, told
AFP.
He said previously that holding the elections now would be
“madness”.
Some precautions have been taken however, with elderly and
pregnant voters getting fast-track lanes to vote.
With older people potentially put off voting by the health
risks, the left has been organising special transport.
One in three of voters for the PD and League are over 65-years
old, according to Italy’s Corriere della Sera daily.
Nearly 2,000 voters in isolation due to the coronavirus have
also registered to have their votes collected, including former
prime minister Silvio Berlusconi.
But fear of catching the virus from voters obliged to pull down
their masks to allow them to be identified has seen a flurry of
last-minute desertions by polling station volunteers.
Milan was forced Saturday to call urgently for 100 fresh pairs
of hands.
Prime Minister Conte has clinched a behind-doors deal with PD
leader Nicola Zingaretti to fight to save each other’s political
skins should the left should perform disastrously, according to the
Repubblica daily.
That might not be enough.
“These elections are not going to topple the government,”
Political commentator Barbara Fiammeri for Italy’s Sole 24 Ore
daily told AFP.
“But there could well be a crisis, whether it be Conte’s fall,
the forming of new coalition, or even a national unity
government”.
AFP